Oldtent Archives 2007 - 2008

……has a lot more political pull up in Puckville.

…This Chart if I’m Reading it right…..says Gold Has appreciated 2000% since 1970…..and the Dow has Appreciated 1500%…..so gold is up 33% more than the Venerable dow…..in the last 37 Years…..

tinyurl.com/2q4ob6

………..2000% in 37 years….thats a nice return even with that brutal 20 year bear market we saw…1980 to 2000…..Lets see if I had bought a Gold Coin (1 Oz ) upon graduating High School…it would have cost 35 U S Dollars……..and Today I can Sell it for 800……THAT IS INFLATION BABY…

….someone call Erin and ask her if she would report that Gold has beaten the Dow by 35% since 1970……..and is up OVER 2000%

…How about a daily and weekly Gold/Dow Ratio Chart GR…?

They let you watch American Football in Canada but won’t let you listen to Stacker music - what’s up with that?

Of course we could save alot more energy if we just ALL turned off the TV and did not watch the game - bet NBC  would turn un-GREEN in a hurry if someone started that movement.

Have a great week!

What do you think Canada is for?

Thanks on those etf’s –I’ve always thought that China wouldn’t let their markets drop until after the Olympics. Time will tell if they can keep them propped up that long. I guss they do have alot of paper they can burn.  And talking about burning paper

……They have turned out the lights in the Studio..to kick off an energy conservation campagne….
…..They say that if everybody turns out a light during the game…..they would save enough power to power 2000 homes for a year……Americans Saving Something…?….a novel idea….wouldnt have anything to do with 95 Dolar Oil would it?

 ”…..don’t think the sm and pm can run together very far or for a signifcant period of time. the credit problem will strangle corporate america.  management has little or no vested interest in the long term performance of corporations and appear to be doing a “smash and grab” on their options and then moving on to let their succesor sort through the debris….
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~ ~ ~ Well, all that could have been said for most of the last 15 years, me thinks.  But, the fact is that the Dow has run higher with the PM indices since 2003.  See chart, Dow versus Gold….

How can that be?  Well, the Dow is crashing against the PM sector and against inflati0n.  Look at 1929 on this chart- a near-perfect fractal move on the downside versus, today.   But, the Fed is burning the USD to affect the perception of the man in the street and the market participants.  Inflation is the smoke and mirrors they are using as long as they can.  As long as they mess with the CPI, change the oil index, change the CRB index, and now cloak the M3 numbers (USD inflation), they use the smoke to keep things going………until they can’t.  I am just saying that “now” is not the time for a major market downer.  We could start a topping process, now, but the momentum downside move will not start until the HUI has topped in the Mayish period……maybe to fit the “sell in May and go away.”  See chart, below………

http://www.geocities.com/cyclepro2/Charts/SP500/Dji176y0710.gif

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…”….. corporate america and the us govt. are in bad need of a major overhaul and it won’t happen until the citizens are demonstrating in the street and politicians are afraid to show their face in public. i think the first blip on that screen will be a transportation disruption……”

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~ ~ ~ No arguments from me.  It is just that I don’t think they can keep “public order” with a PM momentum run at the same time as a general stock market fall in any aggressive way.  The general market can roll over and start down, but the more aggressive fall would occur after the PM move has topped.  Da boyz are burning the USD to keep all of this, together, because they must monetize everything in sight.  So, we print to keep the general markets and bonds up, the printing increases the USD fall, but the foreigners sell our general markets so the money moves to commodities and their markets.  Ring-around-the-rosey, pockets full Goldsee(?), USD ashes….USD ashes….so the system don’t fall down.

Bottom line……The Dow has been crashing, is crashing, and will continue to crash against real money due to dollar inflation……but the USD will be weaker than the Dow so in dollar terms, we enjoy a sweet little bull market.  Come on, Alan Greenspan spent since the 1960s planning this mess.  Did you think it would be simple?

Comments not aimed at you, Redokie, as I know you know all of this and are sharp as a whip.  I am just writing to some unknown entity that might not understand all of the effects that USD printing and inflation can cause.  In reality, inflation is the smoke and mirrors of the NWO……

the red will spread.

rno

apologising for giving good advise! My only brother is still mad at me because I had him buying silver at $6-$8, and having to wait so long for the big one. But then my best friends bought SSRI at $3 and 300 ounces @$5.00 so they are happy. Maybe better to keep ones own council but I tend to want to help my loved ones.

there has never been a market that price hasn’t rationed. the only question is how much and when.

rno

Correct.  All I did was begin to wipe the pie off the faces I had thrown them at…and then proceed to throw another pie.

BWAHAHAHAHAHAAAAA!!!

With my luck today silver will plummet $2 by the time the COMEX opens and I will be forced to issue an apology.  Everyone is just doing their best and risk should never be brushed off dismissively.  I will leave what I wrote below but apologize now for it…just in case I’m wrong…(fat chance).

Who in their right mind issues a “caution” alert when the 50 crosses the 200 at the beginning of NOVEMBER in an EVEN YEAR…(even last Nov - in an Odd Year - SMOKED!)?  To do so indicates that these bozos are still watching silver from the confusing Jan-Jan yearly timeframe instead of from June-June.

But I’m even more miffed by something else.  I just issued a warning to my father.  He was gracious initially but told me in no uncertain terms that I was speculating, that I had all my eggs in one basket ans was playing with fire, and that “If it sounds too good to be true it is.”  He said he wanted to sell his gold coins that he bought in the 70’s now that gold had “spiked” to 800.  Expect those that have held onto their 1979 top gold purchases to not get it this time around and sell to break even.

This is what we are up against folks.  There is nothing I can do for anyone but myself…and I will be branded a kook and worse by those who think they know better…which is 99% of the population here in the US.  I have thrown my pearls to the swine and they are thrown back at me as nothing more than garbage.  Like everyone else, I have struck out spreading the message.  So be it.

I think it’s about a $500 billion problem when all is said and done.  Whatever figure the analysts come up with right now — multiply by 10.

Unfortunately, the extra 8-11 billion they are writing off will  NOT  be the last of the write offs in my humble opinion.  They still have those SIV’s sitting out there that they will have to bring back on the books at some point.   Merrill also has much more writing off to do in my opinion.

So we have these two who are getting pounded because they wrote off more of the bad stuff than the others but the other guys still have LOTS to write off.   They are hoping and praying something will happen to save them so they do not have to do it.  I do not expect them to be saved - burn baby burn!!