farmboy

silver is still nowhere near the ratio to gold it should be. every commodity sector has its resident “bitch” and for the pm, it’s silver. i’m sure it and gold will have a sharp correction out of nowhere. buy it when you are the most afraid it’s going much lower. quail season starts tomorrow and high school football playoff started today. guess i will have to spend a little time in oklahoma to enjoy a few traditions. belize will look awfully good in january. r & d on the new technology is going painfully slow. nothing new on the internet. the grant whores are still accepting money for “research” but nothing new yet unless the people with results are sitting on the info. that don’t make no never mind because very soon, we will have the technology refined for a defined purpose.

rno-who never let impatience and incompetence delay the creation of a few painfull memories.<G> 

Silver Rider

This post aint really to you, its to your wife.

For twenty years, I have hated to see fall and winter arrive. Hated those seasons….cause the air got so dry, and my skin dried up. Hands, every year, cracked and bled….and hurt like a ….well, they hurt. A thousand times a paper cut. Big ole cracks….that bled….and beside being rough, and unsightly….they just plain hurt.

Want to tell you something tonight. The air is dry….and our home has a Electric furnace….that sucks every ounce of moisture out of the air. Been thinking about getting a humidifer…and reckon I should do that. Sinus passages dry out, crack….and Farmgal and I both suffer nose bleeds in the winter months cause the air is so dry.

But since using Mrs. Silver Rider’s soap in the shower, and her hand cream….I think this year might not be so bad. Tried every know handcreme I guess. Everything from ‘Huskers’ to Johnson INtensive Care…..tried em all. So far….your soaps and cream….natural products to boot….have made a heck of a difference.

Might seem like a small thing. But to those that have suffered through the cracked hands, ….had to rub in Neosporan….and anything else to bring temporary relief….it aint no small thing. Hands would get so dry, cracked….that I had a hard time getting the chores done.

Tell Mrs. Silver Rider, thank you. And Farmgal promised me she was going to order the ‘Unscented’ version of the hand cream. (Cant have a man smelling all girlie like….lol)

Great stuff….and hope you get the web site up so others can order. Best, and thanks, Farmboy

RedOkie………You are living through………

“Paper, Rock, Scissors”

- A drama written by A. Greenspan in the 60’s when pot was socially acceptable to hinge the mind.

All of this is just a figment of me imagination, but…….

AG looked at his economics books and imagined the greatest deflationary depression of all-time- all fitting in the context of the cycles of Kondratieff.  He toked-up at a time when most young men saw themselves as Superman or Batman, but AG was a fickle sort who dreamed of saving civilization from the next K-Winter deflationary spiral.  He remembered back to the days of watching the old men drinking beer down at the dock and seeing them play “paper, rock, scissors.”  Yes, the K-Wave would again bring about great loads of paper debt- debt guaranteed to soar through the use of paper currency lifestyles where real life dreams were simply promises that were paper-backed.  Debt promises- debt promises to future generations that would bear upon the children of the K-Wave Winter.   Yes, like the old men at the dock the solution was “scissors” to cut all of that paper debt up in a burning hell of deflationary default.  Yet, like the old men down at the dock, the solution to scissors cutting the paper fiat mess to shreds was the “rock”-Gold and Silver- Real Money to come to the rescue and provide real value in the form or currency as the Constitution required, or to at least mimick our Constitutional requirement as a backing or “hedge” to fake fiat.

As young AG sat blowing circles of smoke into the air, he wondered on about that circle………..paper, rock scissors.  The fiat system had been covering the “rock”- Real Money Gold and Silver….for a longtime since the last K-Winter collapse.  Natural limits would provide the scissors to defeat the fiat paper promises, and Real Money Rock- Gold and Silver were the only answers.  Young AG knew that deflationary collapses of fiat were as old as fiat time, but he wanted to be a hero….the Dick Butkiss of the paper world.

Young AG knew that once a deflationary spiral had begun, the scissors created a momentous slicercism of burning fiat promises that fed upon itself to create the economic death spiral of deflation.  Even the large pools of investment money pooled together after-the-fact in 1929 debacle was not enough liquidity to stem the tide, nor to calm the frantic emotions of the investor peoples once the scissors of natural law took to ripping.

To help himself work through this historical baffilization he went to the closet and donned his Dick Butkiss football helmet and role-played in front of the mirror.  He visualized his worst predicament on the football field as blocker after blocker banged against his pads to deflate his momemtum til the running back’s momentum carried him back into the endzone………touchdown deflation.  As young AG picked himself up off of the floor and tossed his football helmet aside, he now understood the problem…………momentum.  The momentum of the natural law of scissors had to be “chopped up” so to speak to prevent the death spiral of deflation from routing the fiat economy in the K-Wave Winter.

Young AG set out to run his new ideas by the Wyzard of Oz, who at first looked at young AG with that expression “Are you eff’n nuts?”…..but AG had an answer he pulled out of his pocket.  He pulled out a taco wrapper out of his pocket and read to the Wizard of Oz.  We will have a stagflationary period in the 70’s, and we can try parts of my experiment out at that time.  The Wyzard looked at AG standing with the taco wrapper that was dripping taco sauce all over the Yellow Brick Road and said, “Anything to get you the hedoublehockeystix away from me.”

So, the 70’s recession was orchestrated with a new economic touch as a “rolling recession” was devised to stretch things out a bit, kinda like a good defensive end stings out an end-run….to see if a series of defaults across time and territory could lessen the damage of a one-time carnage.  Thus, different parts of the economy, and thus different segments of the country, rolled through the recession with one part starting to recover before the next took the hit….defensive linemen and then linebackers stringing out a play to the natural limits of the playing field.

As the K-Wave rolled on, AG eventually donned his Dick Butkiss helmet and sat in the middle linebacker’s position in the Fed Chair- chief taco chomper to the world. 

He operated with  his John Madden marker to draw up the plan as he had envisioned it through the smoke, much like the early Indian Chiefs contemplated life through the smoke of the Gods.  He needed to pump up the stock market to full bloat to give plenty of fiat ammo to start his rolling deflations.  At the crucial point where it was time to make the decision between past historical roads or his new “inflate the scissors of history away theory”, he calmly stepped to the podium to cry about “irrational exhuberance” in the markets.  The market corrected sharply as he expected, then traders began the necessary reactionary re-trace toward old highs, before next more viscious drop was to come.  But AG did not relinquish the mike.  As the re-test neared the top, he gently whispered those soft words that Wall Street wasn’t (yeah, right) expecting……..”rate cut.”  It was the “Dick Butkiss blitz audible heard round the world” as Mr. Irrational Exhuberance did what no Fed middlelinebacker had ever done before as the markets ramped to even higher heights.  And AG kept the mike and called more “blitzs” to bull the irrational exhuberance higher and higher up the parabolic path.  In the Asian communities the term “nucken futz” was uttered constantly.

Ag reached under his facemask to wipe his lips as the stock market balloon grew bigger and bigger.  And at the precise time he John Madden slashed across the blackboard and screached- “pop it.”  To the horror of everyone on the street, the biggest bloated stock market rise in history started to run in Elliot Waves down the mountain as AG sat back in his Dick Butkiss helmet chomping on a taco.  A bit of taco sauce dripped from the corner of his mouth as he smiled……”Inflate or die.”

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

To be continued……………….but first a message from our resident dago dreamer……..”Below, is a picture of the “stock market crash” designed by AG-DB……Yes, the Dow is crashing against the “rock” and it is crashing against “inflation”, but the burning of the value of the USD by dollar inflation is masking all of that…..so it looks like a bull market on paper.  At this rate, though we might see a Dow:Gold ratio of 1:1…..it might come at 15,000.

The DJIA crashes in devaluing USDs………

dowcrash.png

FarmBoy

I think your giving way to much credit where credit’s not due. We spent a long afternoon that went way to fast comparing notes, listening to the lovely & gracious Moggy, a quick overview from Chairman Irish, and just rubbing shoulders with friends that have some of the same interest & concerns. I believe everyone was just darn hungry & the burnt sausage just hit the spot  :)

docky @ 21:42 pm

Yeah, kinda figured you where that type of man….(grin)

The best success I have seen, experienced, in trying to speak to people about Gold, and Silver….there seems to be something about just giving them a Silver Eagle. Seems over a period of months, that Eagle will wiegh greater on thier minds, (the satisfaction of holding it thier hand?)…just seems, owning one, will accomplish more than any advice, chart, or Editorial. Dont know why that is….just something I have seen.

Have had severl ‘hard core’ types….that did not seem to listen to the story, or read articles, or review even the 5 year chart. ??? But once having something tangible, even if it was placed in a desk drawer….just something about the allure, the shine, the wieght….that gets people to thinkin. Have had more than a few 3-6 months later call and ask…”Say, where do I get some of these?”. Always brings a smile to my face. Cant explain the exact reason….but I know, they are now on the path to ‘Success’.

Hang in there friend, you aint lost em yet. Farmboy

redneckokie1 @ 23:16

I read an article tonight, where India was buying the dollar, trying to prop it up, so thier own currency would fare better. Figure, some other countries where willing to step up and do the same.

Just figure, ole Bernake, is going to ‘listen’ to Wall St, and Kramer….and keep cutting rates. Didnt work for Japan…..but hey, seems these ‘paper pushers’, dont know a whole lot, and public opinion…..is the Rule of the Day.

Ole Just Buy It, he is scaring me these days with his constant upward moving 300 day charts. Really kicking myself for not having stocked up more of the physical….at yesteryear prices. Should have sold the John Deere, and Famgal….(grin). Guess I will never feel like I have enough ounces. This boy wont be crying no blues, if Bernake rises to the occasion and hikes rates back up quick like. Would love to see gold take a step back, and reach down and kiss that 300DMA just one more time. Yep. Time to load up the truck, or wagon…..if we were ever so lucky.

Deadeye @ 23:05 pm

Night Deadeye.

Golden dreams, and look foward to sitting around the fireplace this winter. Always enjoy your thoughts. Going to be interesting this coming year. I think we will see many of the ‘End Game’ plans laid out. I think this year, a whole lot of folks, will be very thankful, for the foresight, wisdom, and knowledge….to have a few ounces of wealth…tucked away.

Even more sure about that, than ‘The rains will fall’. Seems, at least here in the South, that is no longer a given…a gift to be counted on. INteresting times, best, Farmboy

farmboy

the “cut and print” mentality is deeply ingrained. i just think they will have a little blip on the chart before they continue on. just enough to slow down the descent.

rno

Irish @ 22:12 pm

Good this evening to hear you made it ‘home’ safe and sound.

Hey, you will be just fine come Sunday. Wouldnt let the missed choir practice bother you. Figure you can read sheet music, know the notes….so just stand up there and let it rip. (grin)

Thanks for being the ‘Iron Man’. Of getting things started in Belize. I think one day, stories of you will be told to grandchildren….of the man who sought Freedom. Or at least…..stories of why some grandchildren, have food to eat, water to drink….and live a better life than most.

Yes sir….think that will happen one day. So keep on keepin on brother, Best, Farmboy

Redneckokie1 & Farmboy - an added thought –

The U.S. current economic plan is a modified “Weimar Model” We will be talking a lot about that in the future. Deadeye - bedtime

RedNeck….

The following may support your idea of future rate increases.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119457528080387510.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

Comment: With Elections in the US coming up in 08, and the Republicans, from the President on down showing low ratings in most polls….and having in thier memory the defeat by Clinton some years ago with the slogan…”Its the economy stupid’. I still think, they will continue to devalue, cut rate, print money to high heaven…..in attempts to lesson the ‘Trade Deficiet’ numbers as Election time draws near. Just my guess….and If I was half as smart has I once thought…..I would not be living in Belize….but would have my own Island by now. (grin)

Anything, and everything, is possible over the next 12 months. Thats my ‘prediction’, Farmboy

redneckokie1 @ 22:31 pm

To add to your thoughts this evening, I have noticed the stories attempting to ’shift blame’ are appearing quite often these days. It’s China’s fault…they dumping dollars…refuse to ‘adjust the Chinese dollar’….etc.

As to your idea of a rate increase to ’save the dollar’, even if only temporary? Nothing anymore would surprise me. But I have the preponderence of evidence, is for more lowering, and more printing. Mostly because the current Fed Head….seems to run his business based on the ‘Wall St Polls’, ala flashback to the Clinton years….a presidency run by public opinion polls.

I see more rate cuts, before rate increases. And I am beginning to think, that the devaluation of the dollar, the excessive printing, increase in ‘money supply’, is the plan, the design, to prepare the way for the Amero. Frankly, Kudlow speaking about a ‘Gold Backed’ Currency is scaring me. I doubt he has had a ‘Damascus Road’ conversion….which leaves me to wonder greatly….his reasoning for bringing up a gold backed currency. I wonder…what his masters are up to. Why they are pulling the gold strings on puppet Kudlow here and now? I wonder, why he was so cordigal to Ron Paul, whose ideas, of smaller govt, no IRS, etc….seem juxtaposed to Kudlow and Crew. The Wanka BS Meter has got to be pegging about now.

Seeing a lot of strange things these days. And the Farmer’s Almanic aint giving me no clues, (grin) Best, Farmboy

Greenspan on Housing, Central Bank, Gold

Fox News: “So why do we need a central bank?“ 

 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZjMQG3qUFKo

Greenspan: “Well the question is a very interesting one. We have at this particular stage a fiat money which is essentially money printed by a government and it’s usually the central bank which is authorized to do so. Some mechanism has got to be in place that restricts the amount of money which is produced, either a gold standard or currency board or something of that nature because unless you do that, all of history suggests that inflation will take hold with very deleterious effects on economic activity. … There are numbers of us, myself included, who strongly believe that we did very well in the 1870-1914 period with an international gold standard”.

Fox News: “We did well without the Federal Reserve. People forget that.

Yes they do. And that last paragraph was one of the few things Greenspan ever said that makes any sense.

the legacy of helicopter benny

remember all those postings months ago about how benny may be a fall guy to take the heat as things unravel, then to be replaced with a saviour? i think the unravelling is occuring now. dollar, sm plummeting, debt bomb slow motion explosion. the only thing the system can do is slow it down until the system capitulates. i think that will be bennys’ legacy; he had the deck and the con (swabby lingo for person or persons in charge while under way) when the economy and everything attached went under. wonder who the “savior” will be and how far out are we expecting the fix.

on another note, everyone please be on the lookout for a fed emergency meeting to raise rates. this will be a temporary rate hike to steady the dollar just enough to keep it afloat. they will lower later.

rno

Irish………No wonder FGC kept having to……

…..pick things out of his ears while we were talking.  He said it looked like a “nacho surprise” all over his phone.  SilverGirl might have to work on him.  Does she do house calls to Toronto?