Oldtent Archives 2007 - 2008

Thanks for your concern. You are sounding a million times better !!!!!!!!! Hallelulah. I plan to be talking with you soon !! …and being a neighbor in Belize !!!!

Humanoid

Since I am from Missouri…..I can say that it has a little bit of an “Ozarks” twang to it…well..somewhere it does!

I had my “Pigs of the Pigs theory” where I held my nose sometime in late december and tried to buy two of the worst performers: NG and GRS.  From my buy: NG is up ..GRS is down …it was up for a couple of weeks and then got pummeled again (until this week).   I could not buy UXG as I had unloaded some as a tax loss to offset some gains…but I did rebuy after the appropriate time had elapsed. 

Unfortunately…at least for the past 6 months…SSRI is one of my largest holdings..although it is hard to complain given my original buy price.   They used to be the star of the mining stocks…until they changed their business plan and actually started to plan on becoming a producer…..the stock was hurt alot when they announced they would have to borrow money to pay for mining construction. I am on the fence about unloading…but right now I am leaning towards unloading it.  GG is my 2nd largest holding….and it has offset some of the SSRI pain.

MNEAF and more NG, GRS and UXG may get some more buys from me based on my pigs of the pigs theory.  ECU…I have been in it since 45 cents….and it is too painful to watch what used to be large gains evaporate…so I will probably refrain from buying more of this one. 

Mac the Miner will turn it around…. 

SSRI….anyone who announces they are raising funds via a debt offering…whether thay are a miner, bicycle manufacturer or whatever…are taken out and shot…

  Your musical rejection has touched my heart !! Stick to your guns !! Enjoy !!!!!!!!!

Humanoid

Hey, dats some good toe tappin music my friend!

Gonna slow down the pace just a tad with this one though. Gonna offer up something a little different. Gonna talk about Amazing Grace, and slaves…and the ‘black keys’. Figure, the way American’s have volunteered, laid down our rights….been allowed to be turned into modern day ’slaves’ of a corrupt system…well, figure this ought to have a little meaning this evening.

Figure, about the only way most of us will get out of this mess….will be Amazing Grace. (grin) and, a little gold and silver cant hurt. Figure as the artist in the clip, moans from his soul the groans of past slaves…figure…can almost hear the same tones coming from the hearts of Goldbugs and Freedom Lovers alike…in today’s times. Figure, there is a common thread to be found there somewhere. Let Freedom Ring.

8 minutes….but worth the look IMHO. Best, FArmboy (who enjoys any music….that comes from the heart…the soul)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DMF_24cQqT0&feature=related

Even for a old fart like me, The music was— right on

“ for our E-Wave Experts ….

by strikerrod @ 20:45 pm.

Auric’s posting at 15:54 re:  Hamilton

Hamilton stated that we are in up-leg #8 for the HUI and that the last couple of months of the up-legs (per previous up-legs) were the biggest gainers.  He is predicting that #8 could be the most massive compared to #2, #4 & #6 (even numbers being the up-legs).  He is thinking that this massive move will top out in late May or early June 2008.  My question to our e-wave posters here:  would Hamilton’s #8 leg-up be a good comparison of a 3 of III …. if so, does his late May - early June time-frame for “topping” be about the same for wave 3 of III …… assuming we are in one.”

========================

My work back from 2005 always had us making an intermediate-term top in the HUI into May of 08.  I had always listed it as a 5 of III or the top of a Wave III, but there is another possibility that I always thought less likely due to the 3-dimensional timing of the PM complex.  Still, as I have been posting I think this move is a 5th wave into an intermediate-term top, not a 3 of III for sure.  My original work that I called the HUI fractal work from 2005 showed an expectation of the top of Wave III into this May period, but running to the top of the channel.  I will be reviewing that work in an editorial soon, but expect to see us going vertical in Gold as Silver runs to around 26/ 27 into May/ June.   If that plays out, the HUI should easily make it to 735 to 780, but is it possible for the HUI to run even higher since practically all resistance except for angled resistance on the chart is now gone?  I guess the answer is ”yes”, but that might take an extended 5th wave in price and in time.  Regardless, like the 3rd wave of I that I had suggested as the equivalent fractal period things PM should be going much more vertical than practically anyone expects at least into May.  That was always the point in my work where the fractals of Gold and the HUI looked likely to come, together. 

 It is always possible for the cycles to be off a bit at this time because of the long unnatural sideways move in the HUI (That conversation the Sckpak and I started to have a few weeks, ago.)  If so, that might extend things out into as late as August, but I do NOT think that looks likely as a fit to the Gold fractal chart.  The other choice is the HUI just goes more vertical than most expect.  The logic behind it would be that the psychology of PM investors/ potential investors changes dramatically as PM producer earnings are much higher than expected as has been coming out the last few days because investors have been focused on the deflationary news being trotted out.  A sudden snap back to the reality of how the price rise in Gold and Silver have far outstripped all of the notions of increased mining costs (and all of the other crap trotted out in the news), coupled with a more aggressive vertical run in Gold and Silver (like the $Plat run),  will leave expectations in the dirt as those expectations are boosted by investors briefly turning their heads from the lagging 3 year average of Gold and Silver in their valuation metrics to forward looking more vertical pricing.  (IMO, this will be a small preview of what will become the norm in the later parabolic move into 2012)  It will be a double whammy in this case as investors also realize that PM reserves must both be expanded on the upside, and then re-priced higher in their expanded size.  I have talked about all of these things being expected in this fractal run, but would have never have expected for the much higher pricing in Gold and Silver to have been ignored for so long by the PM stocks in this time-frame.  Go figure. 

To go with the above, we are sitting in the sweet spot where the small PM companies (especially the Silvers) started vertical moves back in the last fractal Silver momentum move.  I think we are just seeing that start to unfold as Grin has recently shown with MAI.  I would expect SLW to double to maybe a 150% move into May unless we see an extension in time of a few months so it comes in a bit later.  I have been accumulating call options in this time-frame.  PAL ran from the bottom to around 13 in the last run- comments I posted around the bottom where I was buying cheap calls.  AUA.TO bottomed almost exactly where it appears to have bottomed recently.  BQI (oilsands) had a very aggressive run in that time-frame.  IPT.V ran for about a 4 bagger.  Another little Silver stock, AUN.V, had a huge move in this time-frame, and I love the chart at this time.  SSRI though a bit week, now, was a rather large mover toward the end of the earlier fractal, in fact, pretty well went straight vertical and doubled at the end.  That may sound crazy considering the sentiment of PM investors at this time, but just wait till investors start to realize that Gold and Silver’s three year average price has far outstripped cost rises AND that sudden epiphamy leads heads to be turned to even higher expected averages by a sudden coming vertical move in Gold and in Silver.  (The parabola into 2012 will be marked by investors going even further in how they view valuations as they throw out a 3 year trailing average metric of Gold and Silver price metrics, and simply start to price in higher parabolic Gold and Silver price movements………always true in similar PM historic bulls where deflation is not the issue.) 

For the coming months, IMO, this is what you have all been waiting for.  The thing that surprised me most was when I ran the stock scans back on 1-06-08, there were big moves coming at this time across the resource board as related to the last Silver Momentum run.  Things like PAL, BQI, AUA.TO, etc……..were not expected by me.  Since this is a higher degree Elliot Wave period than the last fractal, the weekly charts are the preferred choice for the comparisons.  If so, we might find the smallest PM stocks, the explorers which have lagged badly, running longer even after the producers have topped as investors start to understand that “it is not about earnings” so much as it “is about value held in the ground” in this snapshot of the coming parabola psychology……..another snip from JS in the past. 

The comments on stocks from my scan that I included above is only a selection from my memory.  Let’s look at the weekly chart of AUN.V as an example, though.  It is more risky to due your own due diligence as in all investment decisions.  I have been accumulating down here.

Below, is the set-up for the vertical move in Gold as I see it versus $Plat…..a general lag, but……..  Look at the similarity of the two charts at the bottom.  The moving series in the Gold chart is almost exaclty like those of $Plat above when $Plat went vertical.  Gold’s MACD is rising and supported by a rising ADX……suggesting a continued momentum move like the one already underway in $Plat.  This is why I told SOEE that a glance at the chart of $Plat suggested higher prices, but I was uninterested.  I am more interested in what is to come in Gold, Silver, and the PM stocks over the next months.

I apologize for the difficulty I had getting this posted all at one time.  Since there is no time like the present there is one other comment I’d like to add.   I will be moving my work to a subscription site in the future.  It should allow me to work better and allow me to address much more including a lot more individual stocks.  There are so many things I cannot go into in editorials and the time it takes to put things in the proper format is crazy.  Thus, our own Audept is working on a site for me as we speak.  Audept really IS the best.  If anybody has any comments in regards to that move, I am open to suggestions.  You can e-mail me at Goldrunner44@aol.com.

I expect the next few months to make PM investors of all orientation very happy.

GR

bunch of cheaters

Posted on February 22, 2008 at 19:31 pm by soee -

I see you got violated by the “No Down Tic Rule”  <G>

I am wondering if anyone has any insight into this company’s pitiful performance. I bought it in 2003, based on the Sunshine Mine re-opening and what I consideed excellent management, geo reports, reasonable business plan, etc.-no TA really considered. It enwt to around $10 US and I held on to it (In hindsight a great place to have sold)> Since then….PeeYooooo. Any inside information or thoughts would be appreciated. I thought the concens over management issues were cleared up over a year ago. Worries me that even with recent rise in Ag, the value keeps heading south. What gives? Am I the only stock holder of this company on the TENT?

for the props.  I guess I need to stop asking my wife her musical opinion…maybe I play it too loud in the car!  Hey…theylet him into the Sydney Opera House…so it cannot be that bad!  I love the instrumental part of virtually all of their songs…the only negative is some of their lyrics are kind of geared towards high schoolers….well…so are the Beach Boys and I like them also! 

 Aguila: they will be in New Orleans on May 2…you seem to kind of travel around alot…”kind of” in your neck of the woods…I think.   I am thinking of seeing them two nights in a row…Palm Springs one night and Scottsdale, AZ the next nite.  I like off the beaten path music….

……. % To Date ……% this Week (Feb 17 thru Feb 22)

7 AEM 85.47 ……… 4.25 …….. OVERALL STUD

7 ARU 23.53 ………. 5.13 ………Solid Performer

7 AUY 38.00 …….. 11.73 ………Comming On Strong

7 CALVF 30.72 ……….25.00 ………PIG of the Week.Beauty eh?

7 ECU -17.24 ………. 11.63 ……..Stinko overall…but Nice Week

7 EGO 2.89 ……….. 3.07 ……..Awakening from a deep Coma

7 EXN 26.40 ………… 15.33 ……Great week.nice little trouper

7 GBN 24.61 ………….. 5.98 ……..Steady one

7 GEA 22.19 ………… 1.30 ……….Steady too

7 GG 70.75…………. 9.93 ………Powerhouse

7 GPXM -36.00 ……….. 0.00 ……..SPLAT Ugh!

7 GRS -38.47 ……….. 31.23 ……..One Ugly Pig overall…BUT…HUGE WEEK

7 GSS 10.35 ……….. 6.58 ………Uninspired ( are the squaters stealing their gold?)

7 HL 20.10 ………. -1.30 ………Fell asleep

7 IAG -3.70 …………. 1.96 ……..Dead in the water

7 KGC 87.81 …………. 4.38 ……..STUNNING Overall

7 MFN -1.09………….. 11.90 ……….Great week…terrible overall

7 MNEAF -15.00 ………….. 14.86 ………Ditto (nice to see it Halve its losses)

7 MRB 18.43 ………….. 2.80 ………..O K

7 NEM 27.91…………. 4.50 ……….Not so Hot compared to other Big Guys

7 NG -30.02 ……….. -0.70 ……..Puke

7 NXG 7.43 ………….. 10.03 ………has a pulse

7 PAAS 35.94 ………… 7.78 ………O K

7 RBY -32.62 …………… 21.15 ………From Goat to Star

7 RGLD 29.10…………. 11.79 ……….Nice Pop this week

7 SA 60.56 …………… 12.15 ……….Started HOT Cooled off…Hot again this week

7 SLW 39.60…………… 5.67 …………Gonna be a Stud

7 SMXMF -2.42 …………… 14.17 ………….Kickstart after dismal 7 months

7 SSRI -5.07…………. 1.28 …………..HUGE DISSAPOINTMENT..Baaaaah

7 TGB 28.69 ………….. 25.33 …………..NICE WEEK eh…finally

7 TRE 28.18 …………… 6.51 ……………Sinclairs PIG doing OK

7 UXG -33.99 …………… 3.07 …………….Mac the Miner a big loser so far

7 VGQ 17.39………… 0.75 ……………….Equiz you re doing OK….

I just finished reading this article by Gordon Bishop. As I am a Ron Paul supporter it is trully amazing to me the sad state that this country now finds itself in. The bought and paid for news media that nightly spew the garbage about the presidential candidates to the waiting sheep are on the verge to start the shearing process for their masters. I truly hate to say this isn’t the time or the place to make a stand for our country. IMHO Get your house in order!
Gordon Bishop is a national award-winning author, historian and syndicated columnist. He is the recipient of 8 Congressional Commendations,

www.etherzone.com/2008/bish022008.shtml

I like it, your taste ain’t so bad       ..and the one posted by silvertri is awesome (Ocean)  Cheers AuGirl

just go back and look at the chart from Le metropole that I posted earlier uncanny correlation….fingers etc crossed…one for the true believers!