Today will go down as one of the most bizarre trading days imaginable, making my commentary extremely tricky. It began last evening during the early Asian trading hours. Silver began to break out from its downtrend, with gold following. However, as soon as the dollar ticked up, The Gold Cartel went into action to take them both back down.
That weakness persisted on through the early Comex trading, for gold. Silver “The Mule” was ready to show its independent self and began to rally on its own, clearly taking aim at its downtrend line established after it took out $21. Its unusual strength was quite noticeable. It would lurch forward, but then fall back when the cabal smothered gold, which The Gold cartel kept on doing, despite the dollar dropping and dropping.
The Working Group On Financial Markets and Gold Cartel were going all out this morning, taking the DOW up over 100 early, and nailing gold on every rally, despite a weakening dollar. They even took the yield on the 10 yr T note down to 3.74%, nullifying the most important aspect of the yield surge last week. Once the stock market took off, the yield went back up to 3.79%.
Each time the euro rose .10 this morning, gold would rise say $1. Then, when it would correct .3, gold was nailed for $2 on the downside. This pattern continued throughout the morning. Silver was pulled back each time the gold hit men pounded away at gold.
This is the sort of gold commentary which is so infuriating over so many years, as they NEVER do an “oops” when what they say falls apart due to Gold Cartel obvious intervention…
Gold falls with dollar rise, may slip further
Mon May 12, 2008 11:37am BST
LONDON, May 12 (Reuters) - Gold fell on Monday after erasing overnight gains, as the dollar’s recovery against key currencies lowered the metal’s appeal as an alternative investment.,,
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Silver was our clear star for the day. After making a $16.67 low, it roared back, taking out its trendline, which attracted a fair amount of spec buying and short covering. The technical pattern which has developed is extremely constructive…
July silver
futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SV/78
Throw that in with a very positive fundamental situation, and we could be close to silver coming into its own and heading for $25 per ounce.
The Café Sentiment Indicator the past three days was as low as I have seen it in over 9 years. The Gold Cartel’s tactics are working, as investor interest in gold diminishes, partly because of what was covered above. They see oil/CRB/inflation surging and gold going nowhere to down. “Why bother,” they say.
The gold open interest fell 8051 contracts to 433,069. Once again silver went the other way, rising 1954 contracts to 123,762.
As our US election season goes into high gear, the “economy” has become the number one issue for voters. To break that down further “growing inflation” is their number one concern. They are getting squeezed from every angle, as they watch the value in their homes deteriorate. Our government keeps telling us that inflation is contained, but they have lost credibility on that score, as we watch gasoline prices reach $4 per gallon in many areas. The real inflation in the US, versus the official sector accounting, has grown so blatant that even some on Planet Wall Street are cajoling fellow inhabitants for focusing on the core rate and not the real rate, the headline number.
A main reason for our growing inflation is the weak dollar. While Paulson the Parrot, as well as President Bush, continues to mouth inane stuff about valuing a strong dollar, the Fed et al, including The Working Group on Financial Markets, continue to maneuver in ways which are an anathema to a stronger dollar.
The hopes of those waiting for a major rebound in the dollar are based on other countries folding their tents on inflation, as we have acquiesced. But, so far most have resisted the Siren’s Song…