Auric…Thanks for the Richard Russel Article..i especially like this part
The gold market chart of 1978 closely resembles the gold market chart of 2008. The patterns, once a breakout above a previous multi-year high occurred, are nearly identical. If you compare the first seven months after the breakout to a new all time high occurred in 1978 to the first seven months after the breakout to a new all time high occurred in 2008 you will see nearly identical patterns. In 1978 gold rose from the breakout price of $192 to the ultimate high of $873. That was an increase of 450%. If the current gold breakout from the $850 high increases by 450% the ultimate high will be $3,825.00. However, we are living in more dangerous financial times than existed in the 1978 to 1980 period.
“The daily chart below shows that gold is clearly overbought. The series of gaps as gold rises are called “runaway” gaps. Gold is moving into the beginning of what I call a potential buying stampede. Those who have traded out of gold (and there are a lot of them) are now being left behind. In a buying stampede, overbought conditions are traditionally ignored. The idea at this point is to get into the item (gold), and those who wait are left behind. We last experienced a buying stampede in gold during 1979-1980. It may be a bit early, but I suspect that if gold closes above 1000 we will be close to another buying stampede.