Midas Guy
Garic on the Housing Bill…
Bill,
I think the Housing Bill will be the most bullish event on Gold since China delinked the Yuan to the dollar. If you recall China announced that they would allow the yuan to appreciate against the dollar in the summer of 05. While the market immediately pushed Gold higher within a couple of days, Gold was pushed back to $420. It then began a slow appreciation and no one has ever discussed the event as it relates to Gold prices again. Gold has been moving forward ever since. Go to Kitco: Click on Live Currency charts and charts comparing $USD Gold to all major currencies. Click on 5 Year on the top and Chinese Yuan on the left. It is clear as the Yuan delinked Gold’s Bull market really accelerated. I interpret this chart as China has been a major buyer of Gold ever since.
While the market originally pushed Gold higher as people with brains realized how inflationary backing FNM & FRE would be, the shoot the messenger crowd got together with the short option manipulator crowd to bring Gold down one more time. There is no doubt in my mind that $U.S. money supply will accelerate dramatically as FNM and FRE’s losses escalate. As the Economist is reporting FNM and FRE have literally gotten access to the $U.S. printing press. Meanwhile the housing bill also allows financial companies to dump their worse loans on the FHA in return for cash. As I have stated before if everyone is too big to fail, the risk of failure has been shifted to what is being used to bail out the failed institutions; the $U.S.
While this week has been painful and I fully expect the manipulative option market makers to try to lower the POG into Monday afternoon’s expiration, I continue to focus on the long term and in the short term root for a victory by the underdog.
Looking forward to our time of the year (once August expiration is over),
Garic