Norcini’s take on the bagholders.
What we think we know is that the ECB, BOE, JCB and the Fed are supporting the dollar, perhaps thru selling their currencies and buying UST’s. We also know that China has been selling some of the Fannie and Freddie bonds.
I wonder if that is why we tend to see dollar weakness in Asia in the overnites and then dollar strength as we get the open in Europe.
This week is a tough week to guage much of anything. Low volume and big money on vacation. If I were long the broad markets, this rally into the weekend would make me nervous. I don’t know what will happen when the boyz get back next week, but it’s hard to imagine they’d be buying with both fists.
Then again, they always do the unexpected.
Don’t Fannie and Freddie have to sell something like $200 billion in bonds next month? If there are buyers, what will be the price of the risk?