Bill,..
I fear that anymore technical analysis I send to you and the Midas team will be given the dis-regard it probably deserves, given that most of my analysis of oversold conditions etc. did not stand up to the recent market sell off,.. Needless to say, not only do we have now a very short term oversold position in gold, but we also have another technical indicator which has always proved very positive in the past,..
Below is the graph showing the ratio of the Commercial Short to Long position,.. As we know the commercials, these last few years, have always been short the gold market, however they do from time to time reduce these positions significantly,.. Rarely does this ratio slip below 2, but when it does it has always proved to be a very good buy indicator,.. In a recent commentary from late July, I stated that this tended to coincide with Gold falling below it’s 200 MA and it appears that this time is no exception,.. As you can see from the graph below the ratio now sits at 1.95 (from the latest COT data available which relates to August 26th),..
I have as best as possible outlined, with red blocks, the corresponding ratio dips against the gold price,.. The 2 graphs speak for themselves,..


As one can see,.. Since 2003, each time this ratio has fallen back to 2 it has been a signal of a bottom in the gold price,..
Given this together with the strong upsurge in physical demand and the extreme short term oversold conditions of many commodities and the currencies, I would like to hope that any further major downside to the gold price is unlikely in the near term,.. Of course, looking at it from a different perspective, if I was sitting on the sidelines waiting to take a position in the precious metals, I’d be scrambling ‘like a screaming nut’ at the opportunity this latest sell off seems to have presented,..
‘The futures bright, the futures yellow’,..
Best aye,..