But Mr President…who’s Fault is this ?…are you taking the blame ?

DJ Bush Pitches Bailout With Bleak Portrait Of US Economy

By Henry J. Pulizzi
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)–Warning that the U.S. is “in the midst of a serious
financial crisis,” President George W. Bush painted a dire portrait of an
economy at risk of a “long and painful recession” to convince a skeptical
public that his $700 billion rescue plan is essential. “Our entire economy is
in danger,” Bush said in a prime time address to the nation Wednesday night,
his most stark comments to date on the meltdown consuming world financial
markets.

“Without immediate action by Congress, America could slip into a financial
panic and a distressing scenario would unfold,” Bush said. “More banks could
fail, including some in your community. The stock market would drop even more,
which would reduce the value of your retirement account.”

The president’s appeal comes as the administration continues its high stakes
effort to convince taxpayers and lawmakers in both parties that the bailout
needs to be wrapped up quickly to avert economic catastrophe.

Both presidential candidates and Congressional leaders from both parties will
meet Bush at the White House Thursday to continue the push for legislation. Top
lawmakers say their round-the-clock negotiations are now bearing fruit, with
both parties agreeing that changes to the $700 billion proposal are necessary.

“Working in a bipartisan manner, we have made progress,” House Speaker Nancy
Pelosi, D-Calif., and House Republican Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, said in a
rare joint statement.

Bush said there is “widespread agreement” on the principles of the bailout
package, including the need to protect taxpayers and ensure that failed
executives don’t receive a windfall at taxpayers’ expense. He also said the
measure should create a bipartisan oversight board.

Lawmakers have been slow to embrace the rescue amid public doubts over its
necessity and the perception that it would simply provide a lifeline for Wall
Street firms and wealthy bankers. According to the latest Wall Street
Journal/NBC News poll, 33% of voters disapprove of the plan, while 31% approve
of it and 28% have no opinion.

In that environment, Democrats have pushed for Bush to take his case to the
public.

“There are a lot of people out there who still don’t understand why it is
necessary to do anything,” Rep. Mel Watt, D-N.C., said Wednesday at a House
Financial Services Committee hearing. “President (Bush) has to tell the
American people enough to justify why we are doing anything.”

Bush acknowledged Americans’ questions, and used much of his remarks to
detail the origins of the situation and the consequences of inaction. He said
massive money flows into the U.S., easy access to credit, and poor
decision-making led to the housing boom and the securitization of mortgages.

“The decline in the housing market set off a domino effect across our
economy,” Bush said.

Under normal circumstances, Bush said he wouldn’t endorse government
intervention in financial markets.

“These are not normal circumstances,” he said. “The market is not functioning
properly. There has been a widespread loss of confidence and major sectors of
America’s financial system are at risk of shutting down.”

The bailout debate seeped further into the political landscape Wednesday,
after Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., said he would
suspend his campaign to focus on the economic crisis. McCain also called for
the presidential debate scheduled for Friday to be postponed, an idea his
Democratic rival, Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., rejected.

Late Wednesday, the McCain and Obama campaigns issued a joint statement
calling for bipartisan cooperation.

“The plan that has been submitted to Congress by the Bush Administration is
flawed, but the effort to protect the American economy must not fail,” the
campaigns said.

Top Democrats in the House and Senate hope to craft a single bill to move in
concert through both chambers. Senate Banking Chairman Christopher Dodd,
D-Conn., met with House Financial Services Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass.,
Wednesday to work on the legislation. Time is short, however, with Congress
hoping to adjourn soon for the November elections and financial markets
desperate for clarity.

Frank, sending a crucial signal to markets, said progress is being made. “I
hope we’ll have something by tomorrow,” Frank said.

The final measure will not look like the brief bill drafted by the Treasury
Department last week. Horse trading over a series of Democratic priorities is
ongoing, and the administration appear to have made some critical concessions.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson conceded Wednesday that executive
compensation - a top concern of Democrats - will be dealt with in the bill. He
was short on specifics.

“We must find a way to address (executive compensation) in the legislation
but without undermining the effectiveness of the legislation,” Paulson told the
House Financial Services Committee.

Other questions surround the potential for the government to take ownership
positions in participating banks and the size of the program, specifically
whether the authority to buy bad debt will come in a $700 billion lump sum or
smaller increments.

“These equity stakes will make sure that taxpayers are paid back,” said Rep.
Dennis Moore, D-Kan.

Paulson, in his second straight day of Congressional testimony, said he
welcomes oversight over the program, and stressed the plan wouldn’t only be
available to big institutions but to community banks, savings and loans and
credit unions as well. Paulson said he envisions hundreds and even thousands of
institutions participating in the programs.

Democrats have been sharply critical of Bush’s performance during the crisis,
accusing the president of staying behind closed doors while Paulson leads the
administration’s lobbying effort.

“Up until now, if you were not a constitutional scholar and therefore aware
that there was in America an institution known as the presidency, you would not
have been able to discern it from the last couple weeks,” Frank said Wednesday.
“He has given no evidence of his existence in the last couple weeks.”

The White House rejects that criticism, pointing to a number of public
statements Bush has made over the past week.

richard640

rpw and the absence of gold in the retail channels says we are going higher. i think, in order to save the dollar, the fed will raise rates. that will kill the stock market and real estate but a lower dollar would do the same, although at a slower rate. i just don’t think tptb can let the dollar slide off a cliff and will use any means to prop it up. treasury notes have a rpw down so until something changes, i think gold up and bonds down. your position and my position are the reason that every transaction has two sides. one side thinks up, the other down. both can be correct in different time frames.

rno

all

Dollar headed down now gold and silver bout to go green and oil on the move again.hmmmmI wonder what that means…oh yeah now I remember..HAAAA

Aguila

Check me if I am wrong….that picture is from one of the front porches of a unit at the Belize Yacht Club……circa 07

Abraham-Hicks

Tell everyone you know: “My happiness depends on me, so you’re off the hook.” And then demonstrate it. Be happy, no matter what they’re doing. Practice feeling good, no matter what. And before you know it, you will not give anyone else responsibility for the way you feel—and then, you’ll love them all. Because the only reason you don’t love them, is because you’re using them as your excuse to not feel good.

….I love you Mr Paulson…!

Overseas…….

…..looking better now, but for how long?

finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=asia

JBI

PS - Dow Jones World Stock Index

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Chord….thanks I needed that

..Hmm looks like all we need there isa little dip….for a right shoulder…then OFF to 480

fgc - here’s a chart, and looking much better.

hui6.png

Monty Guild

BELATEDLY, THE RTC STYLE BAILOUT HAS BEEN INTRODUCED

One thing we do know is that the cost will be much higher than if they had done it a year ago, when we first mentioned that such a government bailout would be necessary in order to achieve some stability in the credit markets.

THE DERIVATIVE PROBLEM REMAINS UNSOLVED
The derivative meltdown has still not been dealt with, and this will cost much more than the Treasury Department’s first estimate of $700 billion. Remember, when the first estimates of the war in Iraq were about $100 billion? We have spent well over $700 billion in Iraq thus far…plus we must add the cost of rehabilitation, care and pensions for the injured, and for those who served.

We predict that the FINAL COST OF THE BAIL OUT from all sources around the world five years from today will be over $5 TRILLION…and it could be AS HIGH AS $20 TRILLION.

We are not kidding…this is how we see it happening:

New crises will arise, and governments will again implement the mechanism of guaranteeing and absorbing financial institutions’ losses and toxic paper. The many governments involved will add money to favored institutions or give handouts to voting blocs, and play down the devastating costs, especially after the public has become numb to the costs.

GOVERNMENTS ARE ALREADY UNDERTAKING AN EFFORT TO REFLATE THE WORLD ECONOMY

There is only one long term way to deal with the bailout, and that is to print money and expand the money supply of the U.S. and other developed countries. The money printing has already begun…now we expect it will accelerate.

Already, global money supply has been growing at about 15% prior to this bail out. Meanwhile, productivity has been growing slowly. As we have discussed in previous letters, inflation is born from the difference between the monetary growth and productivity growth.

INFLATION IS AHEAD OF US AND IT WILL BE A BIG PROBLEM

Not for the next few months, but in coming years, inflation will be a big problem…and we had all better prepare for it. You may be getting tired of hearing us beat this same old drum but if you prepare for the next problem before it arrives, you will be much more financially secure.

The only solution for the current crisis is to liquefy the global economic system and liquefy it to an extreme never before experienced. You think that the mortgage bubble was a big one? Wait until you see the next bubbles.

The U.S., Europe, Australia, Japan, Canada, and others will all join the parade to fiscal and monetary irresponsibility by inflating their money supplies and creating our next big investment opportunity.

THE NEXT BIG INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY IS TO REALIZE THAT THE U.S. DOLLAR WILL FALL AND INFLATION WILL RISE LONG TERM

That is the inflation trade. This means shorting the dollar by going long strong, better managed currencies while also staying long gold. It will not be easy, or is it for the faint hearted. The markets will be volatile but what is the choice? Base metals and industrial commodities will not participate in the price rise at first due to slow economic activity and a serious recession or quasi-depression in the developed world. Later, we expect they will resume their price appreciation.

Energy substitutes such as uranium, wind, natural gas automobiles, and some other economically viable substitutes will do fine, but investors should be careful of substitutes that come with purely political motives. In a time of diminished resources and slowing economic activity, politically popular but economically absurd alternatives (e.g. biofuels with subsidies) will get a lot of lip service, but action will be delayed.

IN RECENT MONTHS, THE U.S. HAS INCREASED ITS LIABILITIES IMMENSELY

For how long can global currency markets ignore the obvious fact that the dollar is now a very over-levered currency? The U.S. has too much debt, and too many obligations to bail out world financial institutions, not just U.S. institutions.

The U.S. dollar must fall…and fall substantially. We agree with those currency experts who say that the Euro, Yen, and British Pound also have problems. This is true, but the U.S. dollar problems remain supreme. We favor the Norwegian Krona, the Chinese Yuan and other more effectively managed currencies.

Because so many other currencies are poorly managed, there has been a recent move into gold. Our long term bullish outlook for gold remains consistent.

Another area of focus: We continue to believe that China and India will grow much faster than the developed world for many years to come. We do not own Indian stocks due to the fact that the market has not fallen enough to make it inexpensive, but we do believe that China is cheap for long term investors. We believe that we will see many policy decisions by the Chinese government designed to strengthen Chinese economic activity and the Chinese stock market in coming months. Of all emerging markets, the least attractive are Russia and the Eastern European countries, which on the whole are poorly managed.

Thank you for listening

Aguila @ 22:42 pm - Cool! Yes, I think it is on my

list of the next place to go.. I hope to head there with the family if we can swing it in the next year or 2.  Looking forward to meeting some tenters, especially Irish (only if I get special golf cart insurance).

Farmboy check it out

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cannuckgold just for you, I hope you will visit Central America someday

And Belize is a good place to check out during that journey.img_0167.JPG

what if

bush had not won a second term

and kerry had step up to the plate

and tighted the belts of all americans

he would have been the most hated president

americans don’t get it till you

shove it

canuukgold yes Gold will shine

but gosh –  it makes me think about selling stocks (at these lows) to hold for convertin’ to fiz in a week or two.

Buying physical at any price these days seems like a good idea.  Sure, the stocks have leverage, a multiplier on the price of Gold, but it is measured in fiat.  Next week, when my USD fiat is (most likely) reduced in value by 50%, what will the value of my paper assets be compared to coin in hand?

Just to be clear, I still hold stocks, but they are a much lower percentage of net holdings compared to a year ago.

the daily dose of laughs

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/24/daily-show-calls-paulson_n_128900.html